Karpathy on the AI Cognition Gap Turning into a Funnel
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On 2026 October 12, Andrej Karpathy posted on X that the gap in how people understand large language model capabilities is widening, shifting from "two groups talking past each other" into a funnel. He estimated around 6000000000 people… (the report cuts off here, with no further details). Karpathy also listed three layers of reasons behind this gap, though the report did not elaborate on what those layers are.
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- 宝玉 · XSelectedKarpathy says the gap in how people understand AI capabilities is turning into a funnel, and he lays out three layers of causes
Andrej Karpathy thinks the gap in people's understanding of large language model capabilities is widening, shifting from "two groups talking past each other" into a funnel. He estimates that roughly 6000000000 people have barely touched large language models, 1000000000 to 2000000000 people occasionally use free ChatGPT-like products, about 20000000 people (0.2%) use frontier models heavily for math and programming, and around 5000 people can use stronger systems internally.
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